Forecast settlement record · GenLayer

A public record
that checks itself.

Publish a prediction with its assumptions, public source, committed horizon and settlement rule. Once the horizon passes, anyone can attach the realized outcome and trigger validator review. The result remains challengeable before it becomes part of the permanent record.

Read the record
0Forecasts
0Settled
0Challenged
How it works

Commit, observe, settle.

01

Commit

Publish the prediction, public source, maturity horizon and exact rule that determines whether it succeeds.

02

Observe

After maturity, an independent participant records what happened and attaches public realized-outcome evidence.

03

Settle

Validators review the preserved record. A mandatory challenge window must expire before the result can be finalized.

The record

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Reading the chain...
Why Almanac

Forecasts with settlement receipts.

Commit before the outcome

The prediction, horizon, assumptions and settlement rule are fixed in the public record before the result is known.

Settle against evidence

After maturity, realized-outcome evidence is attached and checked by validators before the challenge clock begins.

Permanent and open

The whole lifecycle lives on-chain. Anyone can audit the original commitment, evidence, challenges and final result.

Make the prediction before the answer is known.

Commit the horizon and settlement rule now, then let public evidence and validators determine the outcome.